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Bitcoin Market Enters Asymmetric Demand Zone – Calm Before The Next Surge?

Bitcoin Market Enters Asymmetric Demand Zone – Calm Before The Next Surge?

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
2 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has been navigating sharp volatility and renewed selling pressure as financial markets continue to face deep uncertainty. Global investors are reacting to rising geopolitical tensions and erratic policy moves, particularly from US President Donald Trump, whose latest tariff announcements have added fuel to an already unstable environment. His unpredictable behavior continues to unsettle markets and shake risk sentiment, placing added pressure on crypto assets like Bitcoin.

Related Reading: Over 30,000 Bitcoin Withdrawn From Exchanges In A Week – Institutional Accumulation Underway?

Despite the turbulence, many analysts view the current correction as part of a broader, healthy market cycle. They argue that the noise from global headlines may be distracting from what could be a more constructive reset in price action. In fact, underlying market data shows a shift in momentum that may favor long-term bulls.

According to new insights from CryptoQuant, the average selling pressure on top exchanges has dropped significantly — from 81,000 BTC per day to just 29,000 BTC. This substantial decrease suggests that the market has successfully absorbed waves of profit-taking following Bitcoin’s break above $100,000. As a result, analysts are calling this phase the “zone of asymmetric demand,” where sellers have dried up and buyers appear more confident in current price levels. A new equilibrium may be forming.

Bitcoin Holds $81K as Market Braces For Policy Shocks

Bitcoin is facing serious pressure as it trades just above a critical support level around $81,000. Bulls are on high alert, as a breakdown below this zone could trigger intensified selling and a deeper correction. The broader financial landscape remains tense, with uncertainty driven by geopolitical shifts and economic policy risks weighing heavily on investor sentiment.

Adding to the pressure, President Trump recently declared April 2nd “liberation day,” signaling his plan to implement new “reciprocal” taxes — tariffs and sales tax measures intended to mirror those imposed by foreign nations. Markets are reacting with caution, fearing the potential economic fallout and trade instability that could follow. Risk assets like Bitcoin remain highly sensitive to such moves, and any escalation could further shake confidence.

However, on-chain data paints a different picture beneath the surface. Top analyst Axel Adler shared insights showing that the average daily selling pressure on top exchanges has fallen sharply — from 81,000 BTC to just 29,000 BTC. Adler describes this shift as entering the “zone of asymmetric demand,” where selling has dried up and buyers are showing increased confidence in current price levels.

Bitcoin Exchange Inflow | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Exchange Inflow | Source: Axel Adler on X

This transition marks a structural change, with the market absorbing prior profit-taking and positioning for what could be the next major move. According to Adler, April through May could become a consolidation phase — a calm before the next impulse. If Bitcoin holds above $81K and macro conditions stabilize, this reduced selling pressure could set the stage for a strong breakout. For now, all eyes remain on price behavior at support and how markets respond to looming policy shifts.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Pressure Eases As Macroeconomic Forces Take the Lead – Details

Bitcoin Trades at $84,200 as Bulls Eye Key Resistance

Bitcoin is trading at $84,200 after several days of consistent selling pressure, struggling to regain momentum following its recent pullback. While the price has held above the $81,000 support level, bulls remain under pressure to reclaim lost ground. The key objective now is to push BTC above the $86,500 mark — a level that aligns closely with both the 200-day moving average (MA) and the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA).

BTC trying to reclaim $86K | Source: BCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC trying to reclaim $86K | Source: BCUSDT chart on TradingView

Reclaiming this zone would be a significant technical achievement, signaling renewed strength and opening the door for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A decisive close above these moving averages could shift sentiment and confirm that Bitcoin is entering a new recovery phase.

However, failure to reclaim $86,500 in the coming days may reinforce bearish momentum. Without a strong move above those key indicators, Bitcoin risks falling back toward the $81,000 level. A breakdown below that support would likely trigger increased selling pressure and possibly a deeper correction.

Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Ratio Nears Key Signal – Next Major Buying Opportunity Ahead?

With volatility still elevated and market sentiment fragile, Bitcoin’s short-term direction hinges on whether bulls can break through resistance or if bears will regain control and send prices lower.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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