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Bitcoin MVRV Ratio Nears Key Signal – Next Major Buying Opportunity Ahead?

Bitcoin MVRV Ratio Nears Key Signal – Next Major Buying Opportunity Ahead?

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
2 months ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin is facing intense selling pressure once again, with bears now eyeing a move below the critical $80,000 support level. After bulls briefly pushed BTC to $87,000, hopes for a sustained recovery were quickly dashed when the price failed to reclaim the key $90,000 resistance. Since then, momentum has shifted sharply in favor of the bears, dragging the market into deeper uncertainty.

Related Reading: Taker-Driven Dumps Cool Off As Bitcoin Shows Early Signs Of Recovery – Analyst

Ongoing macroeconomic instability, fueled by escalating trade war fears and weakening global sentiment, continues to weigh heavily on financial markets — and the crypto space has been among the hardest hit. Risk appetite is fading fast, and Bitcoin’s failure to hold higher ground has only added to the pressure.

Despite the current weakness, some analysts see a potential buying opportunity on the horizon. Top analyst Ali Martinez shared insights on X, noting that the next prime Bitcoin accumulation zone could appear when the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Ratio crosses above its 70-day moving average. Historically, such crossovers have marked attractive entry points for long-term investors.

Bitcoin Hovers Near $82K As Bulls Face Crucial Test

Bitcoin is now facing a key technical and psychological test around the $82,000 level after losing bullish momentum earlier this week. Bulls initially regained control with a push toward $87,000, but the rally stalled as BTC failed to reclaim the critical $90,000 resistance mark. Since then, selling pressure has resumed, erasing recent gains and dragging the price into lower support zones. What started as a minor upswing has now turned into a deeper struggle for bulls trying to stabilize the trend.

The renewed weakness comes amid persistent macroeconomic uncertainty and rising global tensions, which continue to shake financial markets. Risk appetite has faded across the board, and Bitcoin — like many crypto assets — remains highly sensitive to broader economic shifts. Price action has reflected this fragility, with bears now pressing to break below $82K and challenge deeper demand zones.

Despite the current downtrend, some analysts believe a meaningful buying opportunity could be approaching. Martinez shared on X that the next prime Bitcoin accumulation zone may emerge when the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Ratio crosses above its 70-day moving average. Historically, this signal has aligned with market bottoms and early stages of recovery.

Bitcoin MVRV Momentum | Source: Ali Martinez on X
Bitcoin MVRV Momentum | Source: Ali Martinez on X

While the short-term trend remains pressured, the approaching MVRV crossover could provide a critical turning point. Bulls now face the urgent task of defending $82K and pushing back above key resistance zones. If they succeed — and if accumulation quietly continues — Bitcoin could soon find the footing needed to begin a stronger recovery phase. Until then, volatility and caution are likely to dominate the market.

Related Reading: BTC Resists Macro Pressure As It Diverges From Stock Market Downturn – Insights

BTC Down 8% As Bulls Fight To Reclaim Key Moving Averages

Bitcoin has dropped 8% since March 24, with price action continuing to show weakness as bulls fail to push past key resistance. After briefly consolidating near $87,000, BTC lost momentum and slipped below both the 4-hour 200 moving average (MA) and the exponential moving average (EMA), which were clustered in the $87K–$85K range. These moving averages have acted as dynamic support throughout past uptrends, and the recent breakdown reinforces the growing bearish sentiment.

BTC struggling below key averages | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC struggling below key averages | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

For any recovery phase to begin, bulls must reclaim this range and flip it back into support. A sustained move above $85,000 would signal strength and could set the stage for a push toward the $90K resistance level. However, the current rejection suggests that sellers remain firmly in control.

If Bitcoin fails to hold above the $82,000 level in the coming sessions, the market could face a more profound correction. A break below $82K would likely open the door to sub-$80K prices, placing Bitcoin back into lower demand zones and triggering renewed fear among investors.

Related Reading: BTC Short-Term Holder Capitulation Nears End As Realized Losses Drop Tenfold On Exchanges

With volatility increasing and macroeconomic uncertainty still weighing on the market, bulls are under pressure to act quickly before bearish momentum accelerates further.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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