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Bitcoin Whale Activity Remains Neutral As It Enters Price Discovery – Bullish Signal?

Bitcoin Whale Activity Remains Neutral As It Enters Price Discovery – Bullish Signal?

Sebastian Villafuerte
by Sebastian Villafuerte
5 days ago
·
Posted in Bitcoin News
Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure

Bitcoin has officially entered uncharted territory after breaking above its previous all-time high of $109,000, climbing to a new peak of $112,000. The move comes after several days of tight consolidation and speculation, with bulls finally seizing control despite persistent macroeconomic headwinds. Global financial markets remain highly volatile, shaken by ongoing geopolitical tensions and increasing fears of a recession as US Treasury yields stay elevated.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Momentum Drops 38% After ATH – Healthy Pause Or Warning Sign?

Interestingly, while prices surge, CryptoQuant data reveals a notable absence of aggressive whale selling. The Whale to Exchange Flow metric, which tracks the volume of large transfers from wallets to exchanges, shows that whales are not currently rushing to offload their holdings. Exchange inflows from large wallets remain well below levels typically seen near cycle tops.

The relatively muted whale activity suggests confidence in further upside potential, or at least a willingness to let the market push higher before realizing gains. With momentum building and supply staying tight, Bitcoin’s breakout could be the start of a much larger move—if support holds and market sentiment doesn’t shift.

Whale Behavior Signals Caution As Bitcoin Holds Bullish Structure

Bitcoin is currently trading just below the $110,000 mark, yet it continues to maintain a short-term bullish market structure. Despite the recent retracement from its new all-time high of $112,000, BTC has held above key support zones, which many analysts interpret as a sign of strength. Some expect continuation toward higher price levels, while others remain skeptical, warning of a potential breakdown below $100,000 if momentum fades or macro risks intensify.

Ongoing global tensions and financial uncertainty continue to shape market sentiment. Rising geopolitical risks and recession concerns have fueled volatility across traditional markets, but Bitcoin has shown resilience. Optimism surrounding a broader bullish phase continues to grow, especially as on-chain signals remain constructive.

Top analyst Darkfost provided important insights into whale behavior, a key variable during market tops. According to his analysis, whale activity remains “fairly neutral” despite BTC entering price discovery territory. The Whale to Exchange Flow metric confirms that volumes sent from large wallets to exchanges remain subdued, currently around $300 million per day. This is significantly lower than the $1 billion+ inflows observed during previous tops, such as in late 2021.

Bitcoin Whale to Exchange Flow | Source: Darkfost on X
Bitcoin Whale to Exchange Flow | Source: Darkfost on X

This restrained whale activity suggests that major holders are not rushing to sell, likely anticipating more upside before realizing profits. While short-term volatility is expected, the lack of heavy distribution hints at continued support for higher prices.

If Bitcoin can reclaim $110K and hold, the stage could be set for another leg higher, potentially drawing in sidelined capital and sparking further upside. Until then, all eyes remain on macro conditions, and the whales quietly hold their ground.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Activity Declines Sharply Since July 2022 – Accumulation Or Apathy?

BTC Enters Price Discovery: Key Technical Levels

Bitcoin is holding firm above the key breakout zone around $103,600, even after facing selling pressure from its recent all-time high at $112,000. On the daily chart, BTC remains in a bullish structure, supported by a steep incline in the 34-day EMA (green), which continues to track closely below price. This shows strong trend continuation despite the brief retrace.

BTC pushing above ATH | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC pushing above ATH | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

After breaking out of the long-standing horizontal resistance, BTC surged aggressively toward $112K before retracing to test the upper range of its former consolidation. The pullback appears healthy so far, with no major breakdown and volume tapering off—a typical sign of cooling rather than panic selling.

Related Reading: Bitcoin UTXO Profit/Loss Ratio Sits Below Critical Levels – How Long Until BTC Overheats?

Momentum could resume if bulls defend the $103,600 support, which also aligns with the EMA cluster. A close above $110,000 would be a strong signal of resumed buying interest. Conversely, a daily close below $103,600 could suggest further downside toward the $100K psychological level and the rising 50-day moving average (currently near $94,455).

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

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Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

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